Uncertainty-Aware Neural Networks for Engineering Risk Assessment and Decision Support

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Description
This dissertation contributes to uncertainty-aware neural networks using multi-modality data, with a focus on industrial and aviation applications. Drawing from seminal works in recent years that have significantly advanced the field, this dissertation develops techniques for incorporating uncertainty estimation and

This dissertation contributes to uncertainty-aware neural networks using multi-modality data, with a focus on industrial and aviation applications. Drawing from seminal works in recent years that have significantly advanced the field, this dissertation develops techniques for incorporating uncertainty estimation and leveraging multi-modality information into neural networks for tasks such as fault detection and environmental perception. The escalating complexity of data in engineering contexts demands models that predict accurately and quantify uncertainty in these predictions. The methods proposed in this document utilize various techniques, including Bayesian Deep Learning, multi-task regularization and feature fusion, and efficient use of unlabeled data. Popular methods of uncertainty quantification are analyzed empirically to derive important insights on their use in real world engineering problems. The primary objective is to develop and refine Bayesian neural network models for enhanced predictive accuracy and decision support in engineering. This involves exploring novel architectures, regularization methods, and data fusion techniques. Significant attention is given to data handling challenges in deep learning, particularly in the context of quality inspection systems. The research integrates deep learning with vision systems for engineering risk assessment and decision support tasks, and introduces two novel benchmark datasets designed for semantic segmentation and classification tasks. Additionally, the dissertation delves into RGB-Depth data fusion for pipeline defect detection and the use of semi-supervised learning algorithms for manufacturing inspection tasks with imaging data. The dissertation contributes to bridging the gap between advanced statistical methods and practical engineering applications.
Date Created
2024
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Modeling, Control, and Evaluation of Tire Blowout for Partially and Highly Automated Vehicles

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Tire blowout often occurs during driving, which can suddenly disturb vehicle motions and seriously threaten road safety. Currently, there is still a lack of effective methods to mitigate tire blowout risks in everyday traffic, even for automated vehicles. To fundamentally

Tire blowout often occurs during driving, which can suddenly disturb vehicle motions and seriously threaten road safety. Currently, there is still a lack of effective methods to mitigate tire blowout risks in everyday traffic, even for automated vehicles. To fundamentally study and systematically resolve the tire blowout issue for automated vehicles, a collaborative project between General Motors (GM) and Arizona State University (ASU) has been conducted since 2018. In this dissertation, three main contributions of this project will be presented. First, to explore vehicle dynamics with tire blowout impacts and establish an effective simulation platform for close-loop control performance evaluation, high-fidelity tire blowout models are thoroughly developed by explicitly considering important vehicle parameters and variables. Second, since human cooperation is required to control Level 2/3 partially automated vehicles (PAVs), novel shared steering control schemes are specifically proposed for tire blowout to ensure safe vehicle stabilization via cooperative driving. Third, for Level 4/5 highly automated vehicles (HAVs) without human control, the development of control-oriented vehicle models, controllability study, and automatic control designs are performed based on impulsive differential systems (IDS) theories. Co-simulations Matlab/Simulink® and CarSim® are conducted to validate performances of all models and control designs proposed in this dissertation. Moreover, a scaled test vehicle at ASU and a full-size test vehicle at GM are well instrumented for data collection and control implementation. Various tire blowout experiments for different scenarios are conducted for more rigorous validations. Consequently, the proposed high-fidelity tire blowout models can correctly and more accurately describe vehicle motions upon tire blowout. The developed shared steering control schemes for PAVs and automatic control designs for HAVs can effectively stabilize a vehicle to maintain path following performance in the driving lane after tire blowout. In addition to new research findings and developments in this dissertation, a pending patent for tire blowout detection is also generated in the tire blowout project. The obtained research results have attracted interest from automotive manufacturers and could have a significant impact on driving safety enhancement for automated vehicles upon tire blowout.
Date Created
2023
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Mechanical Behavior of Meteorites: Multiscale Characterization of the Strength and Failure Mechanism

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In this research, the chemical and mineralogical compositions, physical and mechanical properties, and failure mechanisms of two ordinary chondrite (OCs) meteorites Aba Panu (L3) and Viñales (L6), and the iron meteorite called Gibeon (IVA) were studied. OCs are dominated by

In this research, the chemical and mineralogical compositions, physical and mechanical properties, and failure mechanisms of two ordinary chondrite (OCs) meteorites Aba Panu (L3) and Viñales (L6), and the iron meteorite called Gibeon (IVA) were studied. OCs are dominated by anhydrous silicates with lesser amounts of sulfides and native Fe-Ni metals, while Gibeon is primarily composed of Fe-Ni metals with scattered inclusions of graphite and troilite. The OCs were investigated to understand their response to compressive loading, using a three-dimensional (3-D) Digital Image Correlation (DIC) technique to measure full-field deformation and strain during compression. The DIC data were also used to identify the effects of mineralogical and structural heterogeneity on crack formation and growth. Even though Aba Panu and Viñales are mineralogically similar and are both classified as L ordinary chondrites, they exhibit differences in compressive strengths due to variations in chemical compositions, microstructure, and the presence of cracks and shock veins. DIC data of Aba Panu and Viñales show a brittle failure mechanism, consistent with the crack formation and growth from pre-existing microcracks and porosity. In contrast, the Fe-Ni phases of the Gibeon meteorite deform plastically without rupture during compression, whereas during tension, plastic deformations followed by necking lead to final failure. The Gibeon DIC results showed strain concentration in the tensile gauge region along the sample edge, resulting in the initiation of new damage surfaces that propagated perpendicular to the loading direction. Finally, an in-situ low-temperature testing method of iron meteorites was developed to study the response of their unique microstructure and failure mechanism.
Date Created
2023
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Data-Driven Approaches for Fatigue Prediction of Additively Manufactured Ti-6AL-4V and Simulation of Surface Defect Effect on Pipelines

Description
The study aims to develop and evaluate failure prediction models that accurately predict crack initiation sites, fatigue life in additively manufactured Ti-6Al-4V, and burst pressure in relevant applications.The first part proposes a classification model to identify crack initiation sites in

The study aims to develop and evaluate failure prediction models that accurately predict crack initiation sites, fatigue life in additively manufactured Ti-6Al-4V, and burst pressure in relevant applications.The first part proposes a classification model to identify crack initiation sites in AM-built Ti-6Al-4V alloy. The model utilizes surface and pore-related parameters and achieves high accuracy (0.97) and robustness (F1 score of 0.98). Leveraging CT images for characterization and data extraction from the CT-images built STL files, the model effectively detects crack initiation sites while minimizing false positives and negatives. Data augmentation techniques, including SMOTE+Tomek Links, are employed to address imbalanced data distributions and improve model performance. This study proposes the Probabilistic Physics-guided Neural Network 2.0 (PPgNN) for probabilistic fatigue life estimation. The presented approach overcomes the limitations of classical regression machine models commonly used to analyze fatigue data. One key advantage of the proposed method is incorporating known physics constraints, resulting in accurate and physically consistent predictions. The efficacy of the model is demonstrated by training the model with multiple fatigue S-N curve data sets from open literature with relevant morphological data and tested using the data extracted from CT-built STL files. The results illustrate that PPgNN 2.0 is a flexible and robust model for predicting fatigue life and quantifying uncertainties by estimating the mean and standard deviation of the fatigue life. The loss function that trains the proposed model can capture the underlying distribution and reduce the prediction error. A comparison study between the performance of neural network models highlights the benefits of physics-guided learning for fatigue data analysis. The proposed model demonstrates satisfactory learning capacity and generalization, providing accurate fatigue life predictions to unseen examples. An elastic-plastic Finite Element Model (FEM) is developed in the second part to assess pipeline integrity, focusing on burst pressure estimation in high-pressure gas pipelines with interactive corrosion defects. The FEM accurately predicts burst pressure and evaluates the remaining useful life by considering the interaction between corrosion defects and neighboring pits. The FEM outperforms the well-known ASME-B31G method in handling interactive corrosion threats.
Date Created
2023
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Physics-based and Data-driven Models for Microstructure-sensitive Material Failure Prediction

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Description
The relationships between the properties of materials and their microstructures have been a central topic in materials science. The microstructure-property mapping and numerical failure prediction are critical for integrated computational material engineering (ICME). However, the bottleneck of ICME is the

The relationships between the properties of materials and their microstructures have been a central topic in materials science. The microstructure-property mapping and numerical failure prediction are critical for integrated computational material engineering (ICME). However, the bottleneck of ICME is the lack of a clear understanding of the failure mechanism as well as an efficient computational framework. To resolve these issues, research is performed on developing novel physics-based and data-driven numerical methods to reveal the failure mechanism of materials in microstructure-sensitive applications. First, to explore the damage mechanism of microstructure-sensitive materials in general loading cases, a nonlocal lattice particle model (LPM) is adopted because of its intrinsic ability to handle the discontinuity. However, the original form of LPM is unsuitable for simulating nonlinear behavior involving tensor calculation. Therefore, a damage-augmented LPM (DLPM) is proposed by introducing the concept of interchangeability and bond/particle-based damage criteria. The proposed DLPM successfully handles the damage accumulation behavior in general material systems under static and fatigue loading cases. Then, the study is focused on developing an efficient physics-based data-driven computational framework. A data-driven model is proposed to improve the efficiency of a finite element analysis neural network (FEA-Net). The proposed model, i.e., MFEA-Net, aims to learn a more powerful smoother in a multigrid context. The learned smoothers have good generalization properties, and the resulted MFEA-Net has linear computational complexity. The framework has been applied to efficiently predict the thermal and elastic behavior of composites with various microstructural fields. Finally, the fatigue behavior of additively manufactured (AM) Ti64 alloy is analyzed both experimentally and numerically. The fatigue experiments show the fatigue life is related with the contour process parameters, which can result in different pore defects, surface roughness, and grain structures. The fractography and grain structures are closely observed using scanning electron microscope. The sample geometry and defect/crack morphology are characterized through micro computed tomography (CT). After processing the pixel-level CT data, the fatigue crack initiation and growth behavior are numerically simulated using MFEA-Net and DLPM. The experiments and simulation results provided valuable insights in fatigue mechanism of AM Ti64 alloy.
Date Created
2023
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Artificial Intelligence-enhanced Predictive Modeling in Air Traffic Management

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Description
National Airspace Systems (NAS) are complex cyber-physical systems that require swift air traffic management (ATM) to ensure flight safety and efficiency. With the surging demand for air travel and the increasing intricacy of aviation systems, the need for advanced technologies

National Airspace Systems (NAS) are complex cyber-physical systems that require swift air traffic management (ATM) to ensure flight safety and efficiency. With the surging demand for air travel and the increasing intricacy of aviation systems, the need for advanced technologies to support air traffic management and air traffic control (ATC) service has become more crucial than ever. Data-driven models or artificial intelligence (AI) have been conceptually investigated by various parties and shown immense potential, especially when provided with a vast volume of real-world data. These data include traffic information, weather contours, operational reports, terrain information, flight procedures, and aviation regulations. Data-driven models learn from historical experiences and observations and provide expeditious recommendations and decision support for various operation tasks, directly contributing to the digital transformation in aviation. This dissertation reports several research studies covering different aspects of air traffic management and ATC service utilizing data-driven modeling, which are validated using real-world big data (flight tracks, flight events, convective weather, workload probes). These studies encompass a range of topics, including trajectory recommendations, weather studies, landing operations, and aviation human factors. Specifically, the topics explored are (i) trajectory recommendations under weather conditions, which examine the impact of convective weather on last on-file flight plans and provide calibrated trajectories based on convective weather; (ii) multi-aircraft trajectory predictions, which study the intention of multiple mid-air aircraft in the near-terminal airspace and provide trajectory predictions; (iii) flight scheduling operations, which involve probabilistic machine learning-enhanced optimization algorithms for robust and efficient aircraft landing sequencing; (iv) aviation human factors, which predict air traffic controller workload level from flight traffic data with conformalized graph neural network. The uncertainties associated with these studies are given special attention and addressed through Bayesian/probabilistic machine learning. Finally, discussions on high-level AI-enabled ATM research directions are provided, hoping to extend the proposed studies in the future. This dissertation demonstrates that data-driven modeling has great potential for aviation digital twins, revolutionizing the aviation decision-making process and enhancing the safety and efficiency of ATM. Moreover, these research directions are not merely add-ons to existing aviation practices but also contribute to the future of transportation, particularly in the development of autonomous systems.
Date Created
2023
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Field Driven Design of Graded Cellular Structures

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Description
The design of energy absorbing structures is driven by application specific requirements like the amount of energy to be absorbed, maximum transmitted stress that is permissible, stroke length, and available enclosing space. Cellular structures like foams are commonly leveraged in

The design of energy absorbing structures is driven by application specific requirements like the amount of energy to be absorbed, maximum transmitted stress that is permissible, stroke length, and available enclosing space. Cellular structures like foams are commonly leveraged in nature for energy absorption and have also found use in engineering applications. With the possibility of manufacturing complex cellular shapes using additive manufacturing technologies, there is an opportunity to explore new topologies that improve energy absorption performance. This thesis aims to systematically understand the relationships between four key elements: (i) unit cell topology, (ii) material composition, (iii) relative density, and (iv) fields; and energy absorption behavior, and then leverage this understanding to develop, implement and validate a methodology to design the ideal cellular structure energy absorber. After a review of the literature in the domain of additively manufactured cellular materials for energy absorption, results from quasi-static compression of six cellular structures (hexagonal honeycomb, auxetic and Voronoi lattice, and diamond, Gyroid, and Schwarz-P) manufactured out of AlSi10Mg and Nylon-12. These cellular structures were compared to each other in the context of four design-relevant metrics to understand the influence of cell design on the deformation and failure behavior. Three new and revised metrics for energy absorption were proposed to enable more meaningful comparisons and subsequent design selection. Triply Periodic Minimal Surface (TPMS) structures were found to have the most promising overall performance and formed the basis for the numerical investigation of the effect of fields on the energy absorption performance of TPMS structures. A continuum shell-based methodology was developed to analyze the large deformation behavior of field-driven variable thickness TPMS structures and validated against experimental data. A range of analytical and stochastic fields were then evaluated that modified the TPMS structure, some of which were found to be effective in enhancing energy absorption behavior in the structures while retaining the same relative density. Combining findings from studies on the role of cell geometry, composition, relative density, and fields, this thesis concludes with the development of a design framework that can enable the formulation of cellular material energy absorbers with idealized behavior.
Date Created
2023
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Hierarchical Sequential Event Prediction and Translation from Aviation Accident Report Data

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Description
Sequential event prediction or sequential pattern mining is a well-studied topic in the literature. There are a lot of real-world scenarios where the data is released sequentially. People believe that there exist repetitive patterns of event sequences so that the

Sequential event prediction or sequential pattern mining is a well-studied topic in the literature. There are a lot of real-world scenarios where the data is released sequentially. People believe that there exist repetitive patterns of event sequences so that the future events can be predicted. For example, many companies build their recommender system to predict the next possible product for the users according to their purchase history. The healthcare system discovers the relationships among patients’ sequential symptoms to mitigate the adverse effect of a treatment (drugs or surgery). Modern engineering systems like aviation/distributed computing/energy systems diagnosed failure event logs and took prompt actions to avoid disaster when a similar failure pattern occurs. In this dissertation, I specifically focus on building a scalable algorithm for event prediction and extraction in the aviation domain. Understanding the accident event is always the major concern of the safety issue in the aviation system. A flight accident is often caused by a sequence of failure events. Accurate modeling of the failure event sequence and how it leads to the final accident is important for aviation safety. This work aims to study the relationship of the failure event sequence and evaluate the risk of the final accident according to these failure events. There are three major challenges I am trying to deal with. (1) Modeling Sequential Events with Hierarchical Structure: I aim to improve the prediction accuracy by taking advantage of the multi-level or hierarchical representation of these rare events. Specifically, I proposed to build a sequential Encoder-Decoder framework with a hierarchical embedding representation of the events. (2) Lack of high-quality and consistent event log data: In order to acquire more accurate event data from aviation accident reports, I convert the problem into a multi-label classification. An attention-based Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers model is developed to achieve good performance and interpretability. (3) Ontology-based event extraction: In order to extract detailed events, I proposed to solve the problem as a hierarchical classification task. I improve the model performance by incorporating event ontology. By solving these three challenges, I provide a framework to extract events from narrative reports and estimate the risk level of aviation accidents through event sequence modeling.
Date Created
2022
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Time-based Subcycle Fatigue Life Prediction Model Considering Surface Roughness

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Description
Fatigue fracture is one of the most common types of mechanical failures seen in structures. Considering that fatigue failures usually initiate on surfaces, it is accepted that surface roughness has a detrimental effect on the fatigue life of components. Irregularities

Fatigue fracture is one of the most common types of mechanical failures seen in structures. Considering that fatigue failures usually initiate on surfaces, it is accepted that surface roughness has a detrimental effect on the fatigue life of components. Irregularities on the surface cause stress concentrations and form nucleation sites for cracks. As surface conditions are not always satisfactory, particularly for additively manufactured components, it is necessary to develop a reliable model for fatigue life estimation considering surface roughness effects and assure structural integrity. This research study focuses on extending a previously developed subcycle fatigue crack growth model to include the effects of surface roughness. Unlike other models that consider surface irregularities as series of cracks, the proposed model is unique in the way that it treats the peaks and valleys of surface texture as a single equivalent notch. First, an equivalent stress concentration factor for the roughness was estimated and introduced into an asymptotic interpolation method for notches. Later, a concept called equivalent initial flaw size was incorporated along with linear elastic fracture mechanics to predict the fatigue life of Ti-6Al-4V alloy with different levels of roughness under uniaxial and multiaxial loading conditions. The predicted results were validated using the available literature data. The developed model can also handle variable amplitude loading conditions, which is suggested for future work.
Date Created
2022
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High-Frequency Ultrasound Analysis of Soft Material Characterization

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Description
Ultrasound has become one of the most popular non-destructive characterization tools for soft materials. Compared to conventional ultrasound imaging, quantitative ultrasound has the potential of analyzing detailed microstructural variation through spectral analysis. Because of having a better axial and lateral

Ultrasound has become one of the most popular non-destructive characterization tools for soft materials. Compared to conventional ultrasound imaging, quantitative ultrasound has the potential of analyzing detailed microstructural variation through spectral analysis. Because of having a better axial and lateral resolution, and high attenuation coefficient, quantitative high-frequency ultrasound analysis (HFUA) is a very effective tool for small-scale penetration depth application. One of the QUS parameters, peak density had recently shown a promising response with the variation in the soft material microstructure. Acoustic scattering is arguably the most important factor behind different parametric responses in ultrasound spectra. Therefore, to evaluate peak density, acoustic scattering at different frequency levels was investigated. Analytical, computational, and experimental analysis was conducted to observe both single and multiple scattering in different microstructural setups. It was observed that peak density was an effective tool to express different levels of acoustic scattering that occurred through microstructural variation. The feasibility of the peak density parameter was further evaluated in ultrasound C-scan imaging. The study was also extended to detect the relative position of the imaged structure in the direction of wave propagation. For this purpose, a derivative parameter of peak density named mean peak to valley distance (MPVD) was developed to address the limitations of peak density. The study was then focused on detecting soft tissue malignancy. The histology-based computational study of HFUA was conducted to detect various breast tumor (soft tissue) grades. It was observed that both peak density and MPVD parameters could identify tumor grades at a certain level. Finally, the study was focused on evaluating the feasibility of ultrasound parameters to detect asymptotic breast carcinoma i.e., ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) in the surgical margin of the breast tumor. In that computational study, breast pathologies were modeled by including all the phases of DCIS. From the similar analysis mentioned above, it was understood that both peak density and MPVD parameters could detect various breast pathologies like ductal hyperplasia, DCIS, and calcification during intraoperative margin analysis. Furthermore, the spectral features of the frequency spectrums from various pathologies also provided significant information to identify them conclusively.
Date Created
2022
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