An Empirical Study on the Impact of Vertical Integration on Valuation Level of China's A-share PV Listed Companies

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Solar power, as an important part of renewable energy, has become one of the main choices for countries around the world in their energy strategic layout due to its cleanliness, renewability, and distributed attributes. In the context of the booming

Solar power, as an important part of renewable energy, has become one of the main choices for countries around the world in their energy strategic layout due to its cleanliness, renewability, and distributed attributes. In the context of the booming photovoltaic industry, China has emerged a large number of excellent photovoltaic companies, driving the whole industry to reduce costs and increase efficiency, making many contributions to the grid parity of photovoltaic power generation. In the development lifecycle of the photovoltaic industry, various companies choose different competitive strategies to deal with industry cyclical changes and external uncertainty based on their core competitiveness and market opportunities. Vertical integration is one of the strategic paths chosen by many photovoltaic companies. Therefore, it is an important issue to explore the impact of vertical integration on the development of Chinese photovoltaic companies.Based on the data of China's A-share listed photovoltaic companies from 2018 to 2022, this paper uses panel fixed effect model to empirically test the impact of vertical integration on corporate valuation, explores its influencing mechanism, and further analyzes the moderating effect of enterprise heterogeneity factors. The research in this paper shows that: (1) under other conditions unchanged, vertical integration significantly improves the valuation level of enterprises, and this positive impact will not change with the measurement method of enterprise valuation level. This is because the higher the vertical integration degree of enterprises, the stronger their ability to respond to external uncertainty. The more enterprises can obtain capital market preferences, the higher the enterprise valuation will be. This also means that the higher the vertical integration degree of photovoltaic enterprises, the higher their market share is, and they are more able to avoid the impact of external uncertainty, thus obtaining a higher valuation level in the secondary market. (2) The intermediary effect test shows that the channel for vertical integration of photovoltaic enterprises to affect enterprise valuation levels is to increase their market share. (3) Further heterogeneity analysis shows that enterprise profitability and enterprise size positively regulate the impact of vertical integration on enterprise valuation, while enterprise management shareholding ratio and enterprise operating cost ratio will weaken the positive promotion effect of vertical integration. The research conclusions of this paper provide micro-empirical evidence for how photovoltaic companies can improve their enterprise valuation, and also provide some management references for other unlisted companies in the same industry. Keywords: Photovoltaic enterprises; Vertical integration; Corporate valuation; Fixed effect model
Date Created
2024
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An Empirical Study on the Accuracy of Analysts' Long-term Earnings Forecast

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With the continuous development of the Chinese capital market over the past thirty years, the securities analyst industry has experienced a process of transformation from a reckless period to a golden time. One of the most important signals is that

With the continuous development of the Chinese capital market over the past thirty years, the securities analyst industry has experienced a process of transformation from a reckless period to a golden time. One of the most important signals is that securities analysts are increasingly conducting research report providing long-term earnings forecasts for the company. However, current research on analysts is limited to their short-term forecasting behavior, and there is little on analysts' long-term earnings forecasts. Therefore, this article takes the research on analysts' long-term forecast reports issued by analysts on A-share listed companies, and conducts an empirical study on the analysts' forecasts accuracy and its influencing factors. First, the author combed the research literature related to analyst forecasts and selected variables from three dimensions, including company characteristics (financial indicators and non-financial indicators), analyst characteristics and affiliated institution characteristics; secondly, considering the high-dimensionality of the influencing factors, this paper uses the method of combining machine learning and traditional regression to conduct empirical research; finally, the research tested the heterogeneity of influencing factors from two perspectives, including time and industry.The results of this article show that the long-term profit forecasts of analysts in China have advantages over traditional statistical models. More than 60% of analysts provide profit forecasts that are better than statistical models. Afterwards, when examining the factors that affected the accuracy of analysts’ forecasts, it found that although analyst and institutional characteristics affected analysts’ predictions to a certain extent, company characteristics are the most important variables among them all. As the time goes by, the influence of non-financial factors on forecast accuracy gradually decreasing, but analyst characteristics continue to strengthen. In addition, cyclical industries are more difficult to predict than companies in non-cyclical industries, and the difficulty of prediction will not be reduced with the analyst efforts. This research can help analysts optimizing their forecasting behavior and prompts investors to understand analysts' reports more deeply, which makes them using analyst forecast data to make investment decisions in a rationally ways, and it can also help to promote the securities pricing efficiency and development of Chinese capital market.
Date Created
2024
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Research on the Influencing Factors of Operational Performance of Commercial Complexes

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Over the past two decades, propelled by urbanization, domestic investment and construction of commercial complexes have rapidly accelerated. This has led to a dramatic expansion of these complexes with swift operational iterations and related data changes. The impact of changing

Over the past two decades, propelled by urbanization, domestic investment and construction of commercial complexes have rapidly accelerated. This has led to a dramatic expansion of these complexes with swift operational iterations and related data changes. The impact of changing domestic and international financial policies, along with political environments, has seen e-commerce gradually seize the middle and low-end retail markets. Additionally, the global spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in the last three years has resulted in a substantial slowdown in domestic economic growth. Despite this, there is still developmental potential, prompting unprecedented attention to corporate investment and commercial operations.However, acquiring basic operational data in commerce is challenging, with inconsistent measurement standards among enterprises, hindering accurate and systematic judgments of operational performance. The factors influencing the operational performance of commercial complexes in China remain inadequately researched.At this juncture, the scientific measurement of commercial complex operational performance is crucial for their healthy development. This study explores the relationship between enterprise investment behavior, operational management behavior, and commercial complex operational performance. It measures influencing factors using resource configuration theory to control uncontrollable environmental factors, such as urban hierarchy, surrounding population, per capita GDP, surrounding commercial inventory and increment, and location planning support. Dynamic capability theory is then applied to investigate the impact of variables like the number of leases, area, brands, lease cost income, marketing activity types, activity funds, and activity time on operational performance. A model is established to analyze operational performance, contrasting significant variables before and after the pandemic, identifying factors affecting operational performance in early-stage investment and later-stage management strategies. Post-pandemic adjustments are suggested to adapt to changing environmental conditions.In the empirical research section, this paper validates the theoretical model through data analysis, studying the volatility of operational performance based on factors influencing commercial complexes. Integrating theoretical backgrounds, it analyzes investment and management strategies for enterprises in different situations, emphasizing key indicators. This provides enterprises with better choices for future projects and empowers commercial complex managers for effective future management, enhancing operational performance. The study offers a theoretical basis and guidance for promoting the healthy development of the market.
Date Created
2024
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A Study on the Influential Factors of IPO Pricing on the Science and Technology Innovation Board

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On January 30, 2019, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the Implementation Opinions on the Establishment of the Science and Technology Innovation Board on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Pilot Registration-based System, announcing the establishment of a new Science

On January 30, 2019, the China Securities Regulatory Commission issued the Implementation Opinions on the Establishment of the Science and Technology Innovation Board on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and the Pilot Registration-based System, announcing the establishment of a new Science and Technology Innovation Board(STAR). The STAR Market is an important measure in China's capital market reform, aiming to promote the transformation of China's economy from a stage of rapid growth to a stage of high-quality development. The companies listed on the Science and Technology Innovation Board are mainly scientific and technological innovation enterprises that are at the forefront of the world's science and technology, the main battlefield of the economy, and the major needs of the country, in line with the national strategy, breaking through key core technologies, and with high market recognition. Since its launch on July 22, 2019, to May, 15, 2023, there are 522 companies have been listed on the STAR Market, with a total market capitalization of more than RMB 7 trillion. The successful listing of these enterprises will provide strong support for the deep integration of China's high-tech industries and strategic emerging industries.This paper analyzes the influencing factors of IPO listing pricing on the STAR Market, and studies 1478 companies listed on the three listing platforms of the STAR Market, ChiNext and Hong Kong stocks. Through descriptive statistical analysis and multivariate regression model, the influencing factors of the 1st day and the 20th day were empirically studied. The results of the study will provide a pricing reference for ii listed companies in the future, and provide a reference for policymakers to meet the expectations of the new regulatory reforms. Through analysis of multiple factors includes but not limited as the NR,IPE, LEAD, ISCA, T10, AOL, BC, STL, RDI, CAGR, DTOR, these influencing factors have an important impact on the IPO of the STAR Market.
Date Created
2024
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Correlation Analysis Between Publicity and Financing Process of Medical Enterprise

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With the increasing aging population in China, the public's emphasis on health has been on the rise. Many innovative pharmaceutical companies have undertaken multiple rounds of financing, with some going public through IPOs. As a high-tech industry, it is essential

With the increasing aging population in China, the public's emphasis on health has been on the rise. Many innovative pharmaceutical companies have undertaken multiple rounds of financing, with some going public through IPOs. As a high-tech industry, it is essential to study the relationship between the level of corporate publicity and the financing process.This study collected information on the number of promotional articles, timing, and platforms of dozens of pharmaceutical companies that have already gone public through IPOs using Python. An analysis was conducted on the temporal variations of promotional articles for ten representative companies. It was found that the number of promotional articles experienced a significant increase in the month of IPO or the month before, and remained relatively high even after the IPO. Furthermore, the Pearson correlation coefficient method was used to analyze the correlation between the number of promotional articles and various stages of financing. The study found a positive correlation between the daily average number of promotional articles before IPO and the final financing amount. Additionally, a strong positive correlation was observed between the daily average number of promotional articles from 7 days before IPO to IPO day and the turnover rate on IPO day. Grey correlation analysis was also employed to analyze the impact of publicity on the financing amount of each ii financing round, revealing that the financing round and the Shanghai Composite Index had a significant influence. Finally, a multiple regression analysis was conducted to examine the relationship between the pre-IPO financing scale, IPO-day trading amount, and the level of corporate publicity. The regression results indicated that the pre-IPO financing scale was mainly influenced by the number of promotional articles in the 7 days preceding IPO, particularly for pharmaceutical companies listed on the A-share market. Moreover, a negative correlation was observed between the financing round and the financing amount, particularly among companies that experienced a decline in share price on the IPO day. However, the study found a weak association between the IPO-day trading amount and the level of corporate publicity, primarily observed among pharmaceutical companies listed on the A-share market.
Date Created
2024
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Research on the Factors Affecting the Sustained Performance Growth of Market-Oriented Private Enterprises

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This paper analyzes China's transformative changes over the past four decades through a microeconomic lens focused on enterprises. Market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises have emerged as a pivotal force driving China's economic development within this context. The article investigates the determinants of

This paper analyzes China's transformative changes over the past four decades through a microeconomic lens focused on enterprises. Market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises have emerged as a pivotal force driving China's economic development within this context. The article investigates the determinants of their development. Notably, more than half of market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises have entered the inheritance stage, necessitating the exploration of novel attributes for sustained growth.The study's research scope is defined across four dimensions, with a specific focus on approximately 4,000 market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises. It investigates the driving factors behind sustained performance growth at various stages of these enterprises, emphasizing five variables: "partnership governance, entrepreneurial spirit, development strategy, incentive mechanisms, and innovation capability." Employing a combination of "typical case studies" and "group validation" methods, the research examines the factors influencing sustained growth in these enterprises and their interrelationships. The goal is to construct a model for enterprise succession and development, ultimately offering recommendations to foster sustained growth. The research paper is structured into an introduction, literature review and theoretical foundation, typical case studies, empirical research on a group, and a conclusion. ii Key findings include: Partnership governance positively impacts partners' entrepreneurial spirit, promoting sustained performance growth. Trajectory-oriented development strategies, effective incentive mechanisms, and leading innovation capabilities have a positive moderating effect on entrepreneurial spirit, fostering sustained performance growth. During the innovation development phase, partnership governance significantly influences entrepreneurial spirit with a noteworthy environmental moderation effect. The paper recommends implementing a "Dual-Factor Improvement Model" that enhances both partnership governance systems and the selection and functioning mechanisms of entrepreneurial spirit partners. This approach aims to boost partners' entrepreneurial spirit and facilitate high-quality succession in market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises,,ultimately achieving sustained high-quality growth. In conclusion, this research contributes to a deeper understanding of sustained performance growth in enterprises. It offers valuable insights for the succession and development of market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises and innovation-driven entrepreneurship. This research holds significant value in advancing sustained high-quality development among market-oriented non-state-owned enterprises in China, optimizing resource allocation, and nurturing talented individuals.
Date Created
2023
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IPO视角下大股东控制权结构对上市公司盈利成长性的影响研究

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本文基于我国2006-2020年间IPO的上市公司上市当年的样本数据,研究了IPO视角下大股东控制权结构对上市公司盈利成长性的影响效应及影响机制。首先从机理上探讨了大股东控制权结构对上市公司盈利成长性的影响效应、中介机制和调节机制,并相应地构建了本文的三个研究假说。接下来,本文构建了证研究框架,具体包括模型构建、变量选择与数据选取三方面。最后,进行实证分析以验证本文的三个研究假说。通过实证研究,本文发现:首先,大股东控制权结构对上市公司盈利成长性存在显著影响,具体表现为大股东控制权中直接持股比重越高,上市公司盈利成长性则越低;第二,在大股东控制权中直接持股比重对上市公司盈利成长性的负影响中,存在着来自公司主营业务投入的负向中介效应,约占总影响效应的0.162;第三,在大股东控制权中直接持股比重对上市公司盈利成长性的负影响中,还存在着来自公司主营业务利润的负向调节作用,并且在考虑调节作用后,大股东控制权中直接持股比重对上市公司盈利成长性的直接影响不再显著;第四,大股东控制权中直接持股比重对上市公司盈利成长性的影响效应及其具体作用机制主要存在于制造业公司中,而在非制造业公司中并不明显。 最后,基于研究结论,本文从上市公司治理的角度提出两点提升公司盈利成长性的对策建议:一是上市公司尤其是制造业上市公司,在经营管理中应适度引入外部投资机构;二是上市公司在经营管理过程中应注重于主营业务的发展。
Date Created
2023
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新兴市场企业如何克服外来者劣势?——基于高管团队构建视角的多案例研究

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克服外来者劣势是提高新兴市场企业国际化绩效的关键,本文从高管团队构建视角出发,采用多案例比较研究,提炼了新兴市场企业在国际化进程中实施高管团队构建的过程模型,并分析了不同模式与不同阶段的国际化推进机制。新兴市场企业国际化的高管团队构建将经历“配置-适应-融合”三个阶段,配置是企业根据国际化基础与扩张需求选拔内外部高管的阶段,适应是内外部高管成员互动、交流并进行成员动态调整的阶段,融合是内外部高管成员合为一体、形成新组织结构与组织制度的阶段。同时,根据高管团队的核心领导力量的不同分为“内部适应模式”与“外部培育模式”。内部适应模式下,企业从内部选拔具备创业精神与学习适应能力的管理者作为内派高管,并在国际市场引入兼具专业特长与综合管理能力的海外高管,通过内派高管持续学习吸收海外高管的经验知识,最终形成以内派团队为领导核心,实现战略一致、分工有效、利益协同的国际化经营团队。其中,内派团队的创业精神、学习适应能力、沟通协调能力是提高国际化绩效的关键。外部培育模式下,企业在具有国际出口基础的市场上选拔具备创业意愿、专业能力与行业声誉的海外高管,并在内外部团队并行发展的过程中,有意识地促进双方融合并培育海外高管的创业能力,最终形成以海外高管为领导核心,实现战略协同、资源互补、愿景一致的国际化经营团队。其中,海外高管的创业意愿与沟通协作能力是实现团队融合的关键。 此外,在不同高管团队构建阶段,外来者劣势缓解与国际化绩效提升的机制有显著差异。配置阶段,高管特征与国际扩张战略诉求匹配是提升团队绩效的关键;适应阶段,国际身份塑造、社会网络扩张与新能力构建是提高企业国际化绩效的关键;融合阶段,合作机制与治理机制等制度优化是实现团队融合与国际化持续扩张的关键。 本研究基于高管团队构建视角提炼了不同国际化经验基础的企业实现高管团队构建的动态过程模型,丰富了新兴市场企业国际化、高管团队构建等理论研究,为面临国际扩张的新兴市场企业提供一定启示。
Date Created
2023
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中资地产美元债定价归因分析

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中资地产美元债近年来蓬勃发展,潜力巨大,成为市场的新亮点。截至2021年末,地产债是仅次于金融债的第二大中资离岸债品种。但是,目前关于中资地产美元债的实证研究几乎是空白。本文选取2017年初至2021年末发行的所有中资地产美元债为样本,通过多元线性回归的方法,构建中资地产美元债一级市场发行定价模型,深入分析中资地产美元债发行信用利差的影响因素。基于实践,本文创新性地选择房企基本面、美联储货币政策、房地产调控强度的代理变量,用实证方法来考察各界关注且影响市场发展的关键问题,包括中资地产美元债定价影响因素和作用机制等。研究发现,(1)发行人土地储备规模与中资地产美元债发行利差显著负相关;(2)人民币兑美元汇率与中资地产美元债发行利差显著正相关;(3)房地产调控政策强度与中资地产美元债发行利差显著正相关;(4)对于高收益板块发行人,净负债率指标对发行利差影响并不显著,但调控政策影响显著增强。基于此,本文就发行人合理控制融资成本和推动中资美元债市场创新监管提出相关建议。
Date Created
2023
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特色小镇项目的客户居住满意度研究——以CL小镇为例

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本论文主要探讨特色小镇客户居住满意度的影响因素,及提升客户满意度的建议,以CL特色小镇为例,通过理论与实践相结合的方法,利用有序回归模型,探讨CL小镇中影响客户满意度的因素是哪些。在本文的初步研究中,发现:客户对特色小镇的总体满意度水平为3.38,其中对小镇户型布局、空间使用率、居住舒适、环境卫生的满意度达到4.0以上属于非常满意的范畴;且对居住内容期望重要性较高,重要性平均值为 3.70,由此可见客户对所有项目都认为重要性程度较高,其中得分最高的项目为小镇距离行政中心的距离,最低项目为民宿、酒店。 在进一步的回归分析中,发现客户基本特征中的年龄、职业、家庭年收入等;以及客户感受到的内容满意度因素中的特色小镇所在区位、交通便利程度、物业服务等对客户居住满意度有显著正向影响。通过比较分析,发现客户基本特征对于特色小镇客户居住满意度的总体影响大于客户感受到的内容满意度因素。 通过IPA分析,我们发现企业在资源配置中需要做出适当调整,对于小镇的优势区,应在后续运营管理过程中投入更多的关注:小镇周边道路设施情况;建筑布局;小镇公共活动空间包括广场、道路等;景观环境;户型布局:空间使用率、居住舒适度等。对于小镇的重点改进范围应引起高度重视,因为这些因素体现了客户最为重视的需求,如果得不到满足的话则会带来负面的不良影响。所以,为避免此类因素拉低整体满意度,管理者需要尽可能的改进并维持此类绩效因素,该区域的特征为重要性高满意度低。指标包括:小镇距离行政中心的距离;高速;地铁/轻轨;施工质量;儿童乐园;医疗门诊配套;康复理疗;居民素质。通过对细分客户进行IPA分析,发现不同客群对小镇资源的感知程度不一样。因此,在后续小镇的运营中,不仅要关注企业资源配置,小镇内容建设,也需进一步对客户进行甄别。 最后,结合本文实证分析,从政府与企业角度提出改进建议,以期对后续特色小镇客户居住满意度的提升有所帮助。
Date Created
2023
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