Description
A central concern for modern macroeconomics is incorporating and understanding worker heterogeneity. The following two essays explore labor market dynamics along the dimensions of worker heterogeneity, search frictions, and policy. In each essay, I construct a macroeconomic model of the labor market, calibrate the model using micro data, and use the model to interpret labor market outcomes and evaluate policy. In the first chapter, I build an equilibrium lifecycle model of wages in which heterogeneous workers endogenously invest in human capital accumulation and on-the-job search effort while firms post jobs. I discipline the model using microdata from the Survey of Income and Program Participation. The calibrated model shows that on-the-job search drives lifecycle wage growth while heterogeneous human capital accumulation drives lifecycle wage dispersion. Then, I use the model as a laboratory to study the effects of tax and transfer progressivity. An increase in progressivity decreases wages, primarily due to reduced on-the-job search effort. Interactions between human capital, search, and job posting amplify the decrease in wages. Surprisingly, an increase in progressivity has little effect on wage dispersion because the effects from the human capital and search channels offset each other. The second chapter deals with the persistence of the unemployment rate over the business cycle. Standard search models contain little internal propagation and predict that, after shocks, the unemployment rate quickly converges to its steady state level. I show that duration dependence in unemployment (the fact that unemployed workers with longer unemployment spells are less likely to find jobs) helps explain the persistence of the unemployment rate. I embed duration dependence in an otherwise standard search model and show that it significantly increases the unemployment rate persistence, reconciling the model to the data. Intuitively, after recessions, the composition of the unemployment pool shifts to the long-term unemployed. Because of duration dependence, the long-term unemployed have lower job finding rates, and the shift in composition decreases the aggregate job finding rate, slowing recovery. The magnitude of the effect depends on the extent to which duration dependence is causal rather than a consequence of worker heterogeneity.
Details
Title
- Essays in Labor Market Macroeconomics
Contributors
- Millington, Matthew John (Author)
- Ferraro, Domenico (Thesis advisor)
- Ventura, Gustavo (Committee member)
- Chade, Hector (Committee member)
- Arizona State University (Publisher)
Date Created
The date the item was original created (prior to any relationship with the ASU Digital Repositories.)
2024
Subjects
Resource Type
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Note
- Partial requirement for: Ph.D., Arizona State University, 2024
- Field of study: Economics