Lightning May Masquerade as Lightning in the Atmosphere of Venus

Lightning in the atmosphere of Venus is either ubiquitous, rare, or non-existent, depending on how one interprets diverse observations. Quantifying if, when, or where lightning occurs would provide novel information about Venus’s atmospheric dynamics and chemistry. Lightning is also a potential risk to future missions, which could float in the cloud layers (~50–70 km above the surface) for up to an Earth-year. For decades, spacecraft and ground-based telescopes have searched for lightning at Venus, using many instruments including magnetometers, radios, and optical cameras. Two surveys (from the Akatsuki orbiter and the 61-inch telescope on Mt. Bigelow, Arizona) observed several optical flashes that are often attributed to lightning. We expect that lightning at Venus is bright near 777 nm (the unresolved triplet emission lines of excited atomic oxygen) due to the high abundance of oxygen as carbon dioxide. However, meteor fireballs at Venus are probably bright at the same wavelength for the same reason. Here we derive power laws that quantify the rate and brightness of optical flashes from meteor fireballs at Venus. We calculated that meteor fireballs are statistically likely to cause bright optical flashes at rates that are consistent with published observations. Small meteors burn up at altitudes of ~100 km, roughly twice as high above the surface as the clouds. Therefore, we conclude that there is no concrete evidence that lightning strikes would be a hazard to missions that pass through or dwell within the clouds of Venus.