Multiple Perspectives on Plant Conservation Biology: Molecular Phylogeny and Biogeography of the Mammilloid

In the face of the sixth mass extinction on Earth, with the flowering plant family Cactaceae assessed as the fifth most endangered plant or animal family by the International Union for the Conservation of Nature (IUCN), it is imperative that all available tools be used to understand the biodiversity, habitat suitability, climate change impacts and population viability of cacti. Within the Cactaceae, Mammillaria Haw and the closely related genus Cochemiea (K. Brandegee) Walton of Baja California, Mexico, are species-rich, with 46 regionally endemic taxa, 12 of which have been assessed as threatened or endangered by the IUCN. This study clarifies the evolutionary relationships in the Mammilloid clade, a complex and species-rich clade in tribe Cacteae, and generic circumscription of the genera Mammillaria Haw. and Cochemiea (K. Brandegee) Walton, estimates divergence times, diversification rates and ancestral ranges and explores habitat suitability and the risk of extinction of a representative species within these genera. The r species, Cochemiea halei (K. Brandegee) Walton, a narrowly distributed island endemic, is assessed using species distribution modeling (SDM) and population viability analysis (PVA). SDM in this study includes projections to two climate change scenarios over the next century, using four representative particle concentration pathways, and the PVA uses habitat-specific deterministic and stochastic models. The results of molecular phylogenetic analyses of the Mammilloid cladde restore the genus Mammillaria to monophyly via new combinations in the genus Cochemiea. The taxa in this study are shown to be of recent origin resulting from rapid diversification and radiation. Geological and climatic forces at multiple scales appear to be responsible for the high degree of biodiversity and endemism of these cacti. SDM shows that C. halei is likely to be stranded in its fragmented island habitat, has a facultative adaptation to ultramafic soils, and faces a 21%–53% contraction of its range on the islands under climate change scenarios. PVA suggests that C. halei is at increased risk of extinction in response to slight decreases in fecundity and persistence. In general, the perspectives in this dissertation fill several gaps in our prior knowledge of the evolution, biogeography, and conservation pressures of an important, species-rich group of cacti, occurring in a region of high biodiversity and endemism.