Deep Learning-Based Hosting Capacity Analysis in LV Distribution Grids with Spatial-Temporal LSTMs

Nowadays, the widespread use of distributed generators (DGs) raises significant challenges for the design, planning, and operation of power systems. To avoid the harm caused by excessive DGs, evaluating the reliability and sustainability of the system with high penetration of DGs is essential. The concept of hosting capacity (HC) is used to achieve this purpose. It is to assess the capability of a distribution grid to accommodate DGs without causing damage or updating facilities. To obtain the HC value, traditional HC analysis methods face many problems, including the computational difficulties caused by the large-scale simulations and calculations, lacking the considering temporal correlation from data to data, and the inefficient on real-time analysis. This paper proposes a machine learning-based method, the Spatial-Temporal Long Short-Term Memory (ST-LSTM), to overcome these drawbacks using the traditional HC analysis method. This method will significantly reduce the requirement of calculations and simulations, and obtain HC results in real-time. Using the time-series load profiles and the longest path method, ST-LSTMs can capture the temporal information and spatial information respectively. Moreover, compared with the basic Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model, this modified model will improve the performance in the HC analysis by some specific designs, which are the sensitivity gate to consider voltage sensitivity information, the dual forget gates to build spatial and temporal correlation.