Anticipatory Life Cycle Assessment of Phosphorus Recovery from Human Urine and Application in Agricultural Food Systems

The escalating global demand for food production underscores the urgent need for sustainable agricultural innovations. This research contributes new insights into the environmental benefits of using urine-derived phosphorus (P) fertilizers by closing the nutrient loop and applying the technology to agricultural food systems. Anticipatory life cycle assessment was used to quantify the environmental impacts of replacing conventionally mined P fertilizer with recovered urine-derived P fertilizer within the production of beef and plant-based burgers. Results shows that implementing recovered P fertilizer provides greater environmental benefits for all environmental impact categories, with global warming, eutrophication, and water consumption being the main impact categories examined in this study. Urine-derived P fertilizer use in beef burger production led to a 4% reduction in global warming impacts (3% for plant-based), 15% reduction in eutrophication (2% for plant-based), and 42% reduction in water consumption (46% for plant-based). Uncertainty in the results was accounted for using Monte Carlo simulation with 10,000 runs to rank the four burger production scenarios (e.g., conventional and urine-derived beef burger and conventional and urine-derived plant-based burger) based on their environmental impact on global warming, eutrophication, and water use under conditions of baseline, realistic, and maximum uncertainty. Under conditions of realistic uncertainty, implementing urine-derived P fertilizer for beef burger production was considered beneficial for global warming, eutrophication, and water consumption, with 78%, 99%, and 89% of the runs showing environmental benefits, respectively. Due to the lower P fertilizer requirements in plant-based burger production, uncertainty assessment under realistic conditions showed that a reduction in water use was the only expected benefit of implementing recovered P fertilizer, with 71% of the runs providing water use benefits. These results show that closing the nutrient loop by implementing urine-derived P fertilizers can be beneficial when applied to the correct agricultural food system (e.g., beef burger production) and is expected to have the most pronounced benefits with regard to water savings.